The purpose of my Blog is to give and share with you guys informations and thoughts about Politics and Finance.
I will post every Week some of my own thoughts about the stocks and forex market.
I hope you guys have a lot of comments.
Week 1 (April 28th-May 5th)
Stock Market:
The big News of the week is without a doubt Osama Bin Laden's death. It was expected that the stock Market would to get a positive shock. It happened but not in the expected way. The S&P 500 gained as little as 0.13%. Last time something like this happened was in 2003 when Saddam Hussein was captured. Back than the S&P 500 gained 0.57%. The reason why the Market didn't react that positive this time, was that the good news of Bin Laden's death was overshadowed by a decline in oil production.
Commodities such as Gold and Silver fell a little but nothing that would be of big interest in trading. (i mean if you trade with millions it is).
My View:
Right now the Stock Market is pumped. There are little things you can invest in and expect big wins. What is surely becoming interesting are PUT OPTIONS. Either long or short puts it depends on the case.
Many people are already buying put options for APPLE stocks betting on the stock fall after Steve Jobb's death. In my opinion it's kind of a dirty thing to do even if I'm so sure that you can make a lot of money. At the moment the stock is up to 350 USD, i woud go with something around 315/320 to play it safe and 300/310 o play it risky.
As I said there is not a lot of potential right now. (im talking about mid/long time trading, not day trading) I would wait for a fall.
Forex:
Really interesting is the Forex Market at the moment. The dollar is extremely Low at the Moment. My TIP OF THE WEEK is to get some Swiss Francs and buy Dollars with them.
It is not that easy if you re not swiss/or work in switzerland, but also every bank in you country can give you Francs. Today you can buy 1 US Dollar for 83 CHF. This is CRAZY ! Imagine a few years back you could get 1 USD with 1.8 CHF.
The USD is the biggest Money in the World and it will come back. That is sure. So imagine you buying 100.000 CHF of USD that means u get about 120.0000 USD.
You keep the USD for half a year year you can count on a win of 20-50%. It is pretty much impossible to lose money. So if you have that kind of Money I would go for it. It could even be a good deal if you have to take a loan from a bank. You just have to calculate with the interests.
Stocks i would take a good look at:
Lufthansa (Germany)
Tata (The whole Group)
Rumors:
Glencore will go Public soon. This is gonna be a big deal. I ll keep you updated.
People think that Carlyle is going public soon. This could be interesting.
Thank you for reading.
Please leave you comments.
D.
